Having turned Taiwan into a “porcupine,” as the Van Deman team reported back on May 21, 2025, the US is now poised to recognize Taiwan – while the PRC is still merely “preparing to invade Taiwan by 2027” [1]. The world has been presented with a legal justification:
“The Fraudulent UN Resolution 2758 and the Courage to Recognize Taiwan. The resolution is a legal farce that left a vacuum China has filled with propaganda… Resolution 2758’s most glaring flaw lies in its procedural illegitimacy… The wording of Resolution 2758 is as cunning as it is dangerous. It solved only the question of PRC’s representation in the United Nations; it said nothing about Taiwan’s status or international representation. It did not even mention Taiwan. Nor did it ever affirm the PRC’s sovereignty over the island… The time has come to relegate this Cold War relic to the dustbin of history and to stand with Taiwan not as a pawn in a geopolitical game, but as a legitimate and equal member of the community of nations”[2].
But before this happens, a NATO-like alliance will be deployed in the Indo-Pacific region:
“America Needs a New Asian Alliance to Counter China… The time has come for the United States to build a collective defense pact in Asia… Japan, the Philippines, and Australia have not only come to recognize China as their primary and common threat; they also increasingly acknowledge that their fates are intertwined with the broader region. This is true even on issues as sensitive as Taiwan, once a taboo subject in the region: “A Taiwan emergency is a Japanese emergency,” former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe declared in 2021. “If something happens to Taiwan, inevitably we will be involved,” the Philippine military chief warned earlier this year… the logical starting point for Washington is to form a pact with the three partners that are most strategically aligned and have the fastest-growing and most robust combined military cooperation: Australia, Japan, and the Philippines. Additional members could join later, circumstances allowing. As an advanced and stalwart ally in East Asia, South Korea would be an obvious candidate, and its contributions could be quite significant”[3].
Everything seems to be well aligned and meticulously planned. However, there’s just one catch: much like Ukraine is for Russia, Taiwan is an existential issue for China. China will fight to the death here, whatever the cost.
Is peacemaker Trump ready to throw America into the fire?
1 https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/taiwan-ap-xi-jinping-russia-china-b2289958.html
“CIA chief: China has some doubt on ability to invade Taiwan” (Hope Yen, The Independent, 26 February 2023);
2 https://www.hudson.org/corruption/fraudulent-un-resolution-2758-courage-recognize-taiwan-miles-yu
“The Fraudulent UN Resolution 2758 and the Courage to Recognize Taiwan” (Miles Yu, Hudson Institute, May 28, 2025);
3 https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/case-pacific-defense-pact
“The Case for a Pacific Defense Pact” (Ely Ratne, Foreign Affairs, May 27, 2025).