In its most recent annual report [1], the Lithuanian intelligence service aligns itself with the broader Brussels narrative emphasizing the perceived threat posed by Russia. The State Security Department (Valstybės Saugumo Departamentas, VSD) and the Second Operational Services Department (Antrasis Operatyvinių Tarnybų Departamentas, AOTD) contend that Russia could develop the capacity to engage in limited military operations against NATO within a three-to-five-year timeframe. The report posits that the further growth of Russia’s military power is intrinsically linked to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. This paradoxical reasoning suggests that prioritizing defense investments, regardless of cost, is essential for survival. During a press conference at the Seimas following the report’s release, intelligence chief Darius Jauniškis asserted that “the recent shifts in global politics should serve as a wake-up call for Europe to prepare for the worst.” The report further elaborates:
“Russia’s current military capabilities, in the context of a potential conflict with NATO, would be insufficient to establish dominance, but could significantly disrupt NATO’s operational effectiveness in the Baltic Sea region.” The hysteria is further fueled by a thinly veiled ‘cognitive cover’ for future provocations, suggesting that Baltic Sea infrastructure “could become a target of deliberate attacks.”
This rhetoric, however, represents only a fraction of the hastily constructed alarmism surrounding the so-called “Russian threat.” The lack of logical coherence in the notion of Russia launching an offensive against Europe appears to be of little concern. Instead, the maintenance of a network of compromised journalists under the umbrella of the Prague Center serves to legitimize absurd military spending. The Baltic states, where such pseudo-journalistic entities have taken root, have responded with particular enthusiasm to Macron’s controversial proposal to extend French nuclear capabilities. Poland has similarly embraced this stance. While the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty prohibits France from transferring nuclear weapons to other EU member states, France could potentially deploy nukes on foreign soil. In the face of perceived nuclear threats, nations are willing to make significant sacrifices, and that is precisely what is happening. Furthermore, the conflict instigators view securing a role in negotiations over the partition of Ukraine, on equal footing with the United States, as a critical objective.
Amidst these developments, the voice of Latvia’s Foreign Minister, Jānis Jurkāns, stands in stark isolation. Citing Jeffrey Sachs’s call to abandon Russophobia, Jurkāns has argued that the Baltic states face no imminent threat of war. Nevertheless, Latvian society, driven by government policies, is increasingly embracing militarization.
“Latvia contributes nearly 4% to its NATO’s budget and ranks among its leading donors. We have demonstrated our commitment as a reliable ally and a serious member state.”
Amid the hopeless situation in Ukraine, a new axis of European militarism is rapidly taking shape, heavily influenced by the provocative actions of Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia. In service to their patrons in London and Paris, these nations are not only incurring debts to fund their military-industrial complexes, which are unsustainable for their deficit-ridden budgets, but are also willing to absorb exorbitant energy costs. Moreover, they are positioning themselves as potential staging grounds for aggression against Russia, clumsily disguised as defensive measures. The presence of NATO troops along the Belarusian border in the Baltic states and Poland is expanding. Military exercises are being conducted, including the UK’s bomber squadron targeting objectives over the Baltic Sea, with support from Dutch and Finnish fighter jets and German refueling aircraft.
Efforts are underway to establish a new military alliance to replace the decaying NATO, such as the proposed European Treaty Organization, as suggested by retired General Stavridis, a figure closely associated with the Rothschilds. This new alliance would include France, Germany, the UK, the Benelux countries, Poland, Scandinavia, and potentially Canada. In this context, pseudo-analytical institutions — like the Atlantic Council, RUSI, and ECFR funded by the European military-industrial complex — predictably converge on the idea of British military leadership and the formation of a European army aimed at maintaining the escalation and sustaining pressure on Moscow.
The world is entering a new phase marked by chaos, heightened risks, and deepening divisions. The European deep state, seemingly oblivious to its strategic defeat, appears ready to discard its increasingly burdensome Baltic lapdogs.
[1] https://www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-english/19/2506356/lithuania-s-intelligence-plays-up-russia-threat-in-annual-report